President Obama Announces Re-Election Bid
April 4, 2011
President Barack Obama announced he'll run for re-election in 2012, which is hardly a surprise. Has there ever been a president who hasn't run for re-election?
I suspect his ability to win the election will - shocking, I know - depend on the economy. As of today the jobs report was unexpectedly good, the housing market still sucks, economic growth is a little slow, we're involved in essentially 3 wars - Iraq, Afghanistan and Libya. I personally think we shouldn't have gotten involved in Libya (or Iraq, for that matter).
But if people don't perceive that the economy has gotten better, they'll blame Obama and he probably won't get re-elected.
I confess, that as a knee-jerk, bleeding heart liberal, I voted for Obama. During the campaign I was a Hilary Clinton supporter, despite my feelings that she was polarizing. Once Barack Obama won the nomination, I supported him fully. He'll need to energize his grassroots backers like he did the first time around and I think that's going to be extremely difficult, because there are a lot of people like me who supported him before but aren't dazzled by his performance. And need it be said, but I'm not a young African-American, and it's an open question of that demographic will come out in support a second time.
I confess to being slightly disappointed in him. I think McCain/Palin would have been a train wreck of epic proportions, but to me Obama seems unconvincing sometimes - like he's too willing to negotiate instead of lead. Granted, inheriting one of the worst economies in 60 years isn't an easy thing to deal with and since it's rather difficult to prove a negative - i.e., that without the bailout and his policies, the economy would have crashed even more - he's a fairly easy target. For a great communicator, sometimes his message seems a little weak.
Of course, who will run against him? Nobody knows for sure, but Romney? I sort of like Romney, but how's he going to battle Obama? (Not enough to vote for him. Note the knee-jerk, bleeding heart reference earlier). Healthcare reform was practically modeled after his own state healthcare reform initiatives. Newt Gingrich? Too much baggage, and if you're the type that thinks Barack Obama is the dull college professor, imagine what having Newt in office for 4 to 8 years would be like. Newt Gingrich is just not likable. Sara Palin? Yeesh! Where's my passport?
It's probably too early to get going on the 2012 election. I sort of dread the 24-hour nonstop election cycle. But it ought to be interesting. If only they wouldn't start so early.